2Q House Fundraising Round-up

This is it. The deadline for congressional candidates to file their second quarter fundraising reports with the FEC passed at midnight, and SSP has combed through hundreds of filings to bring you a collection of all the noteworthy numbers. While this list is fairly massive, it is by no means comprehensive. If we’ve missed anything, or if you spot any errors, please let us know in the comments. And remember: these numbers are adjusted for rounding. The second column shows cash-on-hand, and the third shows cycle-to-date fundraising.

A few notes before we begin:

  • Candidates in Kansas, Michigan and Missouri will file their extended period reports by 7/24, which is why several rows are blank here. Candidates in Oklahama will file their reports by 7/17.
  • All NC and IN filings cover the period from 4/17-6/30.
  • All PA filings cover the period from 4/3-6/30.
  • The MS-01 numbers cover the period from 4/24-630.
  • The LA-06 and LA-01 numbers cover the period from 4/14-6/30.
  • GA filings in italics cover the period from 4/1-6/25.
  • All numbers are in thousands.

A few quick notes before I pass out:

  • Democratic challengers who out-raised Republican incumbents: Ethan Berkowitz (AK-AL), Joshua Segall (AL-03), Debbie Cook (CA-46), Nick Leibham (CA-50), Betsy Markey (CO-04), Raul Martinez (FL-21), Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24), Joe Garcia (FL-25), Michael Montagano (IN-03), Jill Derby (NV-02), Dina Titus (NV-03), Vic Wulsin (OH-02), Linda Ketner (SC-01), Michael Skelly (TX-07), Larry Joe Doherty (TX-10), and Darcy Burner (WA-08).

  • Republican challengers who out-raised Democratic incumbents: Deborah “The Defrauder” Honeycutt (GA-13), Anne Northup (KY-03), Chris Hackett (PA-10, William Russell (PA-12), Pete Olson (TX-22), John Gard (WI-08).

  • PA-12: Who is William Russell, you ask? Answer: Someone, like Deborah Honeycutt, who has spent most of his money on fees to direct mail firms.

  • ID-01: Someone help out Bill Sali. He’s been having computer problems and hasn’t been able to file his report.

  • LA-06: Looks like the Prince of Pop will need that cash back on his Discover card before he’s back at the break-even point.

  • AK-AL: Don Young is just circling the drain. Yet another quarter passes by where he hemorrhages more money: $251K spent vs. $106K brought in. Included in his expenditures are some hefty legal fees: nearly $50K to Akin Gump, $25K to Tobin O’Connor, and $55K to John Wolfe.

  • There is a lot of great news for Democrats here, but in particular, the numbers for Jim Himes (CT-04), Ashwin Madia (MN-03), Martin Heinrich (NM-01), Darcy Burner (WA-08), Raul Martinez (FL-21) and Joe Garcia (FL-25) are absolutely stunning. In some races that are still under the radar, Democrats posted solid numbers, including Scott Harper (IL-13), Nick Leibham (CA-50), Sharen Neuhardt (OH-07), Jim Esch (NE-02), Dennis Shulman (NJ-05), Sam Bennett (PA-15), and Judy Feder (VA-10).

Stay tuned for SSP’s updated House and Senate ratings, as well as our next SSP Cash Power chart in the next couple of days.

DENVER AIRPORT UPDATE: One thing that I forgot to mention…

  • MS-01: Greg Davis’ heart just isn’t in it anymore. Despite raising over $700K from April 24 through June 30th, the Nathan Lane lookalike took in under $10,000 in the month of June.

60 thoughts on “2Q House Fundraising Round-up”

  1. Just wondering.  Assume Allyson is safe, but she raises funds aggressively (and I understand is generous towards other campaigns that need help).  Looks like Joe Sestak PA-07 and Patrick Murphy PA-08 are sitting on probably adequate COH totals.  The Ds who need help in PA appears to be incumbent Carney and challengers Bennett and Roggio, maybe the sleeper race in PA-03.

  2. I did a post on several of the key Florida races and fundraising numbers at FlaPolitics.

    I’m definitely very happy with the figures for Kosmas, Garcia, and Martinez. Kosmas is ahead of Feeney on CoH, Garcia more than doubled Mario’s take for the quarter, and Martinez almost did the same. Both Garcia and Martinez are nearing cash parity with the Diaz-Balarts.

    Jennings and two of the three potential 8th district candidates have indicated they would self-fund what is necessary, so those districts should also be very competitive. The fifteen district is a real disappointment, possibly the biggest for Democrats this year. I really thought we could have won that race, but it looks like our candidates are not going to be able to compete.

    Across the rest of the board it looks good. Basically it seems like we’ve already locked up at least four races in New York and New Jersey, a number which is likely to go up in both those states. Most of our challengers are putting up respectable numbers. I especially like what’s going in Nevada and New Mexico, as well as Virginia. If everything goes our way in these states, there will be a second wave.

  3. TX-07 Skelly, FL-21 Martinez, FL-25 Garcia, MD-01 Kratovil, LA-04 Carmouche, etc.  A lot of Dems had great quarters, and I can’t wait to update my ratings based on the new numbers.  

  4. 1. By my count, nine incumbents trail their challenger in CashOn Hand.  By far the most lopsided deficit was Joe Culberson who trailed challenger Michael Skelly by an even $500 K (550 to 1050) followed by Steve Scalise in LA-1 (down 343 K @ 211 to 554 for Jim Harlan) and Dave Reichert in WA-8 (down $336 K to Darcy Burner at 916 to 1248).  Others in “deep doo doo” as George H.W. Bush said are Tom Feeney and Bill Sali (he was trailing last quarter and now his computer is broken),  Marginally down: David Scott, Bill Foster, Mark Souder, Randy Kuhl.

    2. Don Young spent more on legal fees ($130 K) than on his campaign ($121 K).  He did cut back his spending and so might be able to stagger across the finish line as the net bleed slowed to $143 K this quarter.

    3. 102 campaigns have raised at least one million dollars (CTD column) with 69 being incumbents and 33 eiither challengers or candidates running for open seats. With well over $2.5 million, Deborah “The Defrauder” Honeycutt is aixth on the list.  Mark Kirk, with over $3.7 million raised tops the list closely followed by Kirsten Gillibrand at over $3.6 million.

    4. Only three of the Democratic challengers who won Republican seats in 2006 spent under $1 million and DCCC spending nearly doubled Nancy Boyda’s cpmbined totals to $1.5 million.  Two successful challengers were well under: David Loesback and Carol Shea-Porter.  Loesback was competitive with Jim Leach but Shea-Porter was out spent more than 3-1 ny Jeb Bradley.  She’s already raised three times as much as in 2006 and has a large lead over Bradley.  Honest, this one looks really good if you factor in her ability to stretch a campaign dollar.

  5. Wondering about

    Bill Gillespie   Georgia 1  

    Tim Prince  California 41

    Heather Ryan  Kentucky 1

    Bryan mcCanless   SC 4

    Sam Rasoul   Virginia 6

    Jeff Morris    Cali 2

  6. Dem. challenger Anne Barth had her second quarter in a row (she just jumped into the campaign mid-Q1), of coming oh-so-close to the fund-raising totals of Republican incumbent Shelley Moore Capito.

    Capito is facing a much stronger challenge (and a much stronger challenger) this cycle than last. In 2006, the primary was later than this year’s mid-May. Even worse, the Dem. challenger in 2006 (Mike Callaghan) came out of the primary with no funds remaining at all. Barth has a strong base, more time to raise additional funds, and outside help. This bodes quite well for Barth to have enough money to be on the air (radio, cable, TV) in the all important final weeks for the campaign–something sorely lacking with Callaghan back in 2006.

    This is a winnable seat for the Democrats. Anne can do it.

  7. Judy Baker is sure to extend her sizeable funds raised lead over him (Onder did give himself a 250K loan last quarter in addition to funds raised from donors). Onder may also have to fight off a challenge from Luetkemeyer in the Republican primary as I expect Luetkemeyer will have exceeded that 90K number.

    For a doctor and a state legislator from the wealthy fundraising base of the St. Louis suburbs, Onder’s 90K haul is surprisingly low.

    DCCC plans to drop 941K into this race after the primaries.

    Judy Baker has been running a great campaign and this seat should be upgraded in terms of its likelihood of flipping.

    There is a reason DCCC is dropping money into MO-09 instead of MO-06.

    Check out Judy Baker’s website and ads here:

    http://judybakerforcongress.com/

    Or donate to her at my ActBlue page. If you donate to her on my page from reading this here on SSP I’ll match the first $200.

    http://www.actblue.com/page/wa…

  8. There is mixed, but generally good news about the $$ race for Indiana governor between “My Man” Mitch Daniels and Jill Long Thompson.  If you look at the COH, Daniels has a large advantage — $2.8 million to $1.0 million.  A significant advantage, to be sure, but I don’t think it’s that bad.

    Consider this: JLT has spent about $1.5 million this year (and remember, this includes a very contested primary).  Meanwhile, Daniels has spent a whopping $7.3 million so far this year, including over $4 million in the last three months alone.  I think its clear that the Daniels campaign went for the knock-out punch right away, trying to solidify Daniels as the overwhelming favorite for re-election.  While I think this race still leans in his favor, I really question if this huge media blitz, making the case for his re-election, really was that effective.

    Thompson has raised at least enough money to make her case.  She doesn’t need as much money as Daniels.  If he’s spent all this money making his case, and is still far from a lock for re-election, it is time for JLT and Dennie Oxley to step up and clearly spell out whey they are bettern alternatives for the state.

  9. they don’t show self funding – For example.  Both Republicans in LA-04 have self funded $400,000 and $500,000 respectively.  

    Races with self funding that makes a big difference in cash raised / CTD: TX-07, LA-04, OR-05, etc.  

  10. It’s like christmas in July for me.  Great work.  Thank you,

    And shout out to Ashwin Madia in MN3.  That’s incredible.  

  12. about 65K raised for the quarter, 86.5K raised total and 37.7K cash on hand.

    Two of the top three of The Republicans for the race have have weighed in now and they both raised less than 100K running for an open seat in a red district.

    This has to be good news for Judy Baker (the Democratic frontrunner) and Blaine Luetkemeyer (who may become the Republican frontrunner if he shows more ability to raise money than Onder and Moore).

    With the DCCC planning to put nearly a million dollars into this race, things are looking good for Judy Baker and the Democrats!

    She has raised almost 90K on ActBlue alone (most of it this quarter).

    See my ActBlue page here:

    http://www.actblue.com/page/wa…

  13. I love these posts, it’s too bad they only come once every 3 months…  lol

    AZ-1, the DCCC will end up not spending a cent here.  That is quite the disparity for fundraising and CoH.

    AZ-3, if Shadegg hadn’t unretired, that would’ve been a pick-up.  Crazy to think in 2 election cycle we would’ve turned a 6-2 Republican advantage into a 6-2 Democratic advantage.  

    CA-4, holy hell Tom McClintock!!!  I wanted to give the title to most raised to Ashwin Madia but alas, that prick had to ruin it.  Very excellent fundraising though for him, I don’t think we are going to win that seat at all.

    CA-46, Debbie Cook outraised Rohrbacher, nice.  Although, I’m sure Rorhbacher could raise a lot more than that if he wanted to.  Look for that to pick up next quarter.  Same with CA-50.

    FL-16, I really don’t see why everyone is so worried about this seat.  Excellent fundraising, douchey incumbent yes, but it’s PVI isn’t anything I’d worry about (R+2 no?).  He’ll do fine and we’ll hold this seat for awhile until the Republicans certainly gerrymander the hell out of the area again.

    GA-8, I’m still worried about this seat.  It’s a Lean Democrat probably at best, unless I’m missing something.

    IL-10, holy shit.  Obama coattails will carry this one over for us, hopefully.

    LA-6, all the fundraising in the world won’t help him if Jackson takes enough of the black vote.  Prick.

    Looks like New Mexico will have an all Democrat delegation come 2009.  Congrats.

    TX-7, TX-10, excellent numbers.  Anohter 2 seats in TX would certainly make us all feel a little better about that bullshit mid-decade redistricting.  Especially, if we keep Lampson, which I highly doubt will happen, even more so when you see Olson outraising Lampson.  Ill say it now, Lampson will be the only Democratic incumbent to lose this cycle.

    Virginia looks like it could be kind to us this cycle.  With Warner really being the guy at the top of the ticket in a sense, he could really help all of these races downticket.  The CoH disparity in VA-2 makes that race not really as worth watching but VA-5 and VA-10 are looking damn good.  It could be our PA from 2006, which a Democratic revolution in Virginia would help us for decades to come creating a new swing state with a serious amount of EV’s for us to contest.  Very helpful in 2016.

  15. I live in FL-12, and am looking for Doug Tudor’s results.  I’m sure they are not overwhelming, but I know he has raised enough to have to file.  He’s raised over $10,000 on Act Blue alone.  But I don’t see them on that list, nor do I see any reports on the FEC site?  Are the ones above just the people that have electronically filed?

  16. I take back what I said about Shanker.  It doesn’t matter what kind of endorsements he’s got, if he can’t raise more than $33,000 in a quarter, he’s toast.

    Thankfully we’ve got Kirkpatrick there to pick up the slack.

  17. Bad news out of CD 8.  John Gard cranked up his fundraising significantly.

    Kagen is not self funding his campaign this year as he did when he won the open seat in 2006.  In fact his campaign still owes him over $400,000 for loans he made to his campaign.

    That said, it is hard to see Gard out spending Kagen this election cycle.  But it still points to the fact that the race in 2008 may prove to be as close as the 2006 race.

    The one bright side is Gard is really having trouble gaining traction finding issues to hammer Kagen with.  Gard is one of the desperate Republicans who endlessly repeats the lie about Chinese oil rigs off the coast of America.  Gard is attempting to somehow blame Kagen for gasoline prices, which is laughable of course, but it doesn’t take the truth to sway the uninformed in elections we all know.

    Here is a link to a Wispolitics.com story on Wisconsin’s fundraising.  Scroll down to the Tuesday 7/15/2008 story “Gard narrowly edges Kagen in second quarter fundraising” for more information on congressional fundraising in Wisconsin.

    http://www.wispolitics.com/ind…

  19. McHenry (R-inc)raised $145, COH $414

    Johnson (D) raised $125, COH $219

    Congrats to Daniel Johnson for almost outraising that putz McHenry this quarter!  A little DCCC money sprinkled here will make this one interesting – McHenry has no personal fortune to pour into the race.

  21. Couple of points:

    1.  Can someone with more patience than me make a similar list of how fundraising stands in the open seats?  Where Dems, Reps lead, etc?  Are there any surprises there?  

    2.  Berkowtiz might have outraised Young, but Parnell outraised ’em both.  Have there been any primary polls?  

  22. dissapointments are Kissells fundraising.  This is supposed to be one of our best pickups, but he can’t even raise 200K in a quarter.  And this district is in the Charlotte media market at least partly, and I doubt advertising here is cheap.  This is the 2nd quarter in a row he’s dissapointed with fundraising.  Also Gard outraising Kagen.  I really like Kagen, and we get all of his campaign commercials up here in the U.P. of Michigan, being so close to Green Bay.  I remember the shady campaigning Gard used in 2006, and I don’t want him to pull it off this time.

  23. Or is there a primary he still needs to win to take on Childers again this fall?  If it’s Davis I’m feeling great about that race.

  24. I count 16 R open seats where there was a D advantage last quarter (Bright, Kirkpatrick, Carmouche, Madia, Adler, Stender, Heinrich, Teague, McMahon, Maffei, and Bocceri).  The other 10 had an R advantage.  Both semi-competitive D open seats had a D advantage (Griffith and Schrader).

    Looking at fundraising prowess alone, 16+16-6=26 pick-ups.  Eliminating Honeycutt and Russell (somewhat arbitrarily), and you get 28.

    1. he might do the best of all the Republicans in November in Boone County (after all, he ran the ball real well), but he’s such a green candidate that hilarity has ensued before.

      But Olivo is a Republican, for now! (which means either he’s very focused on the present, or he’d switch after deep thought)

      I haven’t directly followed the campaign, but I wonder what the impact will be from Jacob being in the race (costing Baker some Boone County votes) and Hulshof running for Governor.

      Actually, some Kenny-friendly Dems may vote in the Democratic primary, and hurt Kenny in his primary. I don’t know if there’s a lot of possible Democratic primary voters who’ll be voting in the Republican primary for Hulshof.

      (Jeff Harris should draw in more primary voters to take our ballot though*)

      And that earmark tour ad Steelman released is pretty hard-hitting. Never mind that Hulshof didn’t know about all those earmarks. Never mind that Steelman is hitting Hulshof for supporting the highway bill when it included a lot of Missouri pork.

      Much like how some feel the solution to a problem is more cowbell, conservative Republicans like Steelman think that the solution to Missouri’s problems is “more conservatism!”

      (*- I’m still undecided for Attorney General, which is the last statewide race i’m unsure on)

  27. I had assumed that seat would be a tossup, but the pathetic republican fundraising and their contested primary makes me optimistic.

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